Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.447166 5.943128 6.499123 7.176416 7.990386 8.952515 10.200561
2025-01-05 4.739320 5.365734 6.119088 7.116785 8.445923 10.228006 12.949506
2025-01-12 4.129542 4.792312 5.628801 6.806194 8.506733 11.048114 15.602330
2025-01-19 3.648960 4.310885 5.176583 6.453668 8.423958 11.664895 18.482676
2025-01-26 3.481708 4.209726 5.207840 6.779258 9.451529 14.588808 29.360641
2025-02-02 3.439409 4.268217 5.467961 7.512903 11.471501 21.157986 77.978876
2025-02-09 3.306053 4.180279 5.497493 7.886032 13.051173 29.253373 683.763457
2025-02-16 3.161361 4.057727 5.453195 8.120980 14.512936 41.085657 NaN
2025-02-23 3.009061 3.906803 5.340372 8.200319 15.689979 57.996528 NaN
2025-03-02 2.806910 3.660742 5.037946 7.833218 15.435160 65.637870 NaN
2025-03-09 2.670087 3.506303 4.876111 7.732506 15.992945 89.957288 NaN
2025-03-16 2.504090 3.293940 4.592805 7.319858 15.333668 94.097731 NaN
2025-03-23 2.399879 3.186146 4.506605 7.386060 16.667925 207.788141 NaN
2025-03-30 2.293696 3.067949 4.390730 7.368281 17.795878 1090.741833 NaN
2025-04-06 2.163950 2.902693 4.173194 7.068950 17.561521 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.039532 2.739295 3.946330 6.712943 16.895733 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.006982 2.726563 4.001462 7.079269 20.296202 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.014424 2.781700 4.195065 7.889072 28.851022 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.981339 2.763715 4.240591 8.308692 37.209364 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.937672 2.723508 4.235009 8.576041 46.714235 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.885179 2.663717 4.180875 8.670415 55.781676 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.804895 2.548996 3.997229 8.270421 52.296311 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.749022 2.476210 3.900290 8.162892 56.388150 NaN NaN